Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.416021 0.488579 0.567983 0.661059 0.766881 0.883161 1.020299
2025-01-12 0.284588 0.377079 0.488688 0.632051 0.809957 1.022028 1.292351
2025-01-19 0.210175 0.309258 0.439219 0.619328 0.859188 1.164014 1.576473
2025-01-26 0.168314 0.271265 0.416281 0.630403 0.932471 1.336504 1.909423
2025-02-02 0.137430 0.240679 0.395750 0.637875 0.996892 1.498435 2.238082
2025-02-09 0.113444 0.214759 0.376228 0.641456 1.052605 1.649357 2.559905
2025-02-16 0.097583 0.198331 0.367713 0.658719 1.127668 1.831093 2.936009
2025-02-23 0.082938 0.180760 0.353986 0.664665 1.183976 1.987228 3.283217
2025-03-02 0.066730 0.156717 0.325054 0.640766 1.188681 2.062986 3.512123
2025-03-09 0.058980 0.147525 0.320915 0.658263 1.261831 2.249326 3.921541
2025-03-16 0.051540 0.137343 0.313173 0.667815 1.321358 2.416627 4.309687
2025-03-23 0.047635 0.134088 0.318279 0.701285 1.424786 2.661760 4.836159
2025-03-30 0.040434 0.121839 0.303777 0.696365 1.460372 2.798082 5.197092
2025-04-06 0.033884 0.109603 0.287359 0.685597 1.484077 2.915637 5.534162
2025-04-13 0.028656 0.099407 0.273649 0.678354 1.513157 3.043608 5.895263
2025-04-20 0.025522 0.094150 0.270345 0.692461 1.584434 3.250760 6.404093
2025-04-27 0.022509 0.088436 0.264980 0.701265 1.645513 3.442525 6.895241
2025-05-04 0.019676 0.082470 0.257971 0.705381 1.697027 3.619108 7.367640
2025-05-11 0.017844 0.079238 0.257420 0.724180 1.780249 3.859700 7.967277
2025-05-18 0.015746 0.074466 0.251972 0.730654 1.837602 4.053693 8.490185
2025-05-25 0.012844 0.065784 0.234153 0.704742 1.822398 4.105424 8.750386
2025-06-01 0.011721 0.063538 0.234330 0.723722 1.907614 4.359523 9.403360
2025-06-08 0.010480 0.060395 0.231305 0.734081 1.974042 4.579278 10.000227